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基于强模糊云的机场刚性道面易损性评价
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V351.11

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国家重点研发计划项目(2021YFB2600500)


A Vulnerability Evaluation of Airport Rigid Pavement Based on Strong-Fuzzy Cloud Model
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    摘要:

    为进一步完善民用机场飞行区道面的评价体系,在现有的道面评价管理技术规范基础上,建立新的刚性道面易损性评价体系,综合考虑结构和功能2个方面对道面做出综合易损性评价,分别选取有代表性的5个结构性指标和4个功能性指标,并通过熵权法确定各指标在子体系中的权重,借助模糊云评价模型在定性概念和定量描述之间相互转化的突出优势,在拓展云模型(ECM)的基础上提出强模糊云(SFCM)模型,建立道面综合易损性评价模型。结合中国南部某机场实际机场道面检测数据分析,得到该机场道面综合易损性评价值为2.277,道面评价结果为具有较大易损性,评价结果的置信度接近1,说明计算结果有效,同时与ECM 的评价结果(2.123)一致,证明评价结果可靠。SFCM 充分考虑评价指标不完全符合标准正态分布的特性,构建偏峰分布并增强区间过渡的模糊性,评价结果更符合实际。

    Abstract:

    In order to further improve the assessment system for civil airport runway pavements, a new rigid pavement vulnerability evaluation system is developed on the basis of existing technical specifications for pavement evaluation and management.This system comprehensively evaluates the vulnerability of pavements in consideration of both structural and functional aspects.Five representative structural indicators and four functional indicators are selected, and their weights within the sub-systems are determined by using entropy weight method.With the aid of an advantage of the prominent ability of the fuzzy cloud evaluation model in transforming between qualitative concepts and quantitative descriptions, a Strong-Fuzzy Cloud Mode(SFCM) is proposed based on the Extended Cloud Model(ECM).Then, the comprehensive vulnerability assessment model for runway pavements is established.By analyzing the actual pavement inspection data from a southern airport, the comprehensive vulnerability assessment value for this pavement is determined as 2.277, indicating a high level of vulnerability.The confidence level of the assessment results is close to 1, demonstrating the validity of the calculated results.Furthermore, the assessment result is consistent with the evaluation result (2.123) obtained by using ECM, confirming the reliability of the assessment outcome.The SFCM takes into account the non-conformity of evaluation indicators to the standard normal distribution, constructs skewed distributions, and enhances the fuzziness of interval transitions, whereas the results of assessment conform even more to reality.

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张宇辉, 李林泉, 寇伟彬, 顾 欣.基于强模糊云的机场刚性道面易损性评价[J].空军工程大学学报,2024,25(5):37-45

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  • 在线发布日期: 2024-10-22
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